Sunday, August 11, 2024

The Future of Activism: Populations Poised to Increase Pressure Worldwide

                Since the creation of this blog in 2010, its counter of visualizations doesn't work and the same is happening with my YouTube channel since its creation in 2020. For no reason,  I'm being  harmed in so many ways and for so long. Why can I not have a YouTube channel and blog with their counter of visualizations working like everyone else? However, all the world is demanding justice and equality. The Brazilian institutions including from the government must do more to increase political inclusion, fairness, responsiveness to public demands and accountability. Once again I'd like to thank everyone doing this worldwide movement stronger than ever, using their time and internet to raise awareness to injustices happening around the world. If you want to know my channel, watch my videos, here is the link https://youtube.com/@lucianofietto4773?si=KvQJG6g3z4r_ziJi    This post is a summary with the book with the title above published in 2021 at   https://www.dni.gov/files/images/globalTrends/GT2040/NIC-2021-02495-Future-of-Public-Activism_18Nov21_UNSOURCED.pdf

                      Over the next two decades, populations in every region and in every type of political system are likely to demand more from their political and corporate leaders, potentially prompting those leaders to be more responsive and possibly accountable. During the past decade, activism has been on the rise in every region, including high-profile protests and demonstrations. The combined increases in education, urbanization, and access to communication technologies are equipping people to express their interests and needs and seek more government action. As activism continues to expand and potentially becomes more sophisticated, governments of all types will seek avenues to respond, either by attempting to appease public demands or by suppressing avenues for activism. Over time, this dynamic will offer the prospect for more accountable leadership and improved democratic health. Worldwide trust in public and private institutions and their leaders have been persistently low during the past decade. Public in every region have become more concerned about the future, even as their personal incomes have risen. In some countries, the share of the population expecting their children's future financial situation to be worse than that of their parents has risen sharply, rising to 35% in Brazil between 2013 and 2018, for example. This distrust in the system and worries for the future reflect growing public concern about corruption, globalization, eroding social values, and the pace of innovation. This discontent has led to a surge in public activism in the past decade in every region across the world. Especially in developing countries,the intensity of activism is likely to increase. The reduction in people's preoccupation with imediate financial concerns facilitates a wider scope of awareness and ambition beyond immediate needs. Moreover, as people become wealthier in developing countries, they often express rising economic and social expectations in terms of material benefits, such as better healthcare, housing and education. In all regions of the world, increasing access to education is providing people greater awareness of the domestic and international dynamics shaping their lives as well as an increasing understanding of the levers for change at their disposal. Social media and the inexpensive near-instantaneous flow of information have grown exponentially, giving real-time awareness of events and the tools and techniques to improve people's ability to organize. This greater global connectivity is likely to magnify collective action, extending the trend of increasing public confrontation with traditional hierarchies and devaluation of conventional sources of authority. Social media tools give organizers the ability to generate and focus public attention on issues and causes. Individuals can bypass the publishing industry and other traditional intermediaries and communicate directly to the broader public to achieve a range of results. In just 5 years, the number of people using the internet has grown by 36%. Global social media users increased to 4.2 billion in 2021, an 82% gain in 5 years and equivalent to 53% of the world population. Projecting forward, global internet penetration is forecast to reach 90% by 2030. Increasing activism can be an indication of democratic health and offer the prospect of more accountable leadership, but this dynamic also comes with risks, including more factionalized government, reduced policy coherence, and lack of long-term strategic planning. Public engagement with political leadership can improve responsiveness to public needs and increase accountability. Increasing public agitation on competing sides can further polarize political processes and undermine elected officials' efforts to reconcile  divergent policy views and reach compromise solutions to national challenges. This can result in fluctuating, contradictory, and ineffective policies. Occasionally incoming leaders respond to niche pressure or depart from orthodox policies that are the result of longstanding commitments and negotiated tradeoffs. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi came to office in 2014 as a trade liberalizer under the slogan "Minimum government, maximum governance." However, in response to political pressure and to protect certain domestic industries, including the agricultural sector, he raised import duties on more than 40 goods in the 2018-19. Policies designed to satisfy narrow constituencies risk sacrificing long-accepted strategic logic and jettisoning crafted international agreements.

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